Situation Map
Legend
SystemTimePositionMovement (kts)Winds (kts)Pressure (mb)Category
VARDAH110000Z12.7N 84.5EW 08709701
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Situation Map

What is a Hurricane?

A hurricane (or typhoon, or severe tropical cyclone), the strongest storm on Earth, is a cyclonic (rotary) storm that derives its energy from cloud formation and rainfall, unlike frontal cyclones that derive their power from a temperature gradient. Full Article

Saffir-Simpson Scale

Category 1 – 74-95 mph (64-82 knots; 119-153 km/hr). Damage is limited to foliage, signage, unanchored boats and mobile homes. There is no significant damage to buildings. The main threat to life and property may be flooding from heavy rains.

Category 2 – 96-110 mph (83-95 knots; 154-177 km/hr). Roof damage to buildings. Doors and windows damaged. Mobile homes severely damaged. Piers damaged by storm surge. Some trees blown down, more extensive limb damage. Full Article

Tropical Cyclone Formation

Tropical Cyclone Genesis is the technical term for the process of storm formation that leads ultimately to what are called hurricanes, typhoons, or tropical cyclones in various parts of the world.

This occurs when, in the Northern Hemisphere, the Intertropical Convergence Zone, or ITCZ, shifts northward out of the doldrums and atmospheric conditions become favorable for tropical cyclone formation after about the middle of May. Full Article

Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits Outlook
Graphic provided by Climate Prediction Center
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Forecast Graphic
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH Warning Text (JTWC)
WTIO31 PGTW 110900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH) WARNING NR 016    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110600Z --- NEAR 12.9N 83.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 83.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 13.1N 82.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 13.1N 80.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 13.2N 79.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z --- 13.6N 77.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 83.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 641 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS THE MAINTENANCE OF DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION WHICH HAS 
BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC OVER THE PAST 6-HOURS. A 100359Z AMSU 89 GHZ 
IMAGE REVEALS A LARGE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, AND TIGHTLY CURVED 
CONVECTIVE BANDING, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT BEST TRACK POSITION 
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON 
THE IMPROVED NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK VALUES OF 
T4.0 (65 TO 80 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY-
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE-STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
BEING OFFSET BY GOOD OUTFLOW. CURRENTLY TC VARDAH IS TRACKING 
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST, WHICH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A 
WESTWARD COURSE. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DEGRADE 
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH DECREASING OUTFLOW AND INCREASING 
VWS LEADING TO STEADY WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. TC 05B WILL MAKE 
LANDFALL BETWEEN TAU 24 AND 36 NEAR CHENNAI, INDIA. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 48. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS 
AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone VARDAH JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTIO51 PGTW 110900    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 05B NIO 161211080427
2016121106 05B VARDAH     016  01 270 08 SATL 030
T000 129N 0837E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD 
T012 131N 0823E 070 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 115 NW QD 
T024 131N 0808E 060 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD 
T036 132N 0791E 040 R034 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD 
T048 136N 0771E 030 
AMP
    036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH) WARNING NR 016    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH) WARNING NR 016    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110600Z --- NEAR 12.9N 83.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 83.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 13.1N 82.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 13.1N 80.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 13.2N 79.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z --- 13.6N 77.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 83.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VARDAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 641 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.
//
0516120412  55N 962E  25
0516120418  59N 949E  20
0516120500  63N 938E  25
0516120506  67N 930E  25
0516120512  70N 925E  25
0516120518  75N 923E  25
0516120600  80N 920E  25
0516120606  85N 918E  25
0516120612  91N 917E  25
0516120618  93N 916E  30
0516120700  96N 915E  30
0516120706 101N 919E  30
0516120712 105N 920E  35
0516120718 109N 921E  35
0516120800 111N 921E  45
0516120806 113N 920E  45
0516120812 114N 917E  45
0516120818 114N 914E  45
0516120900 115N 911E  45
0516120906 117N 908E  45
0516120912 119N 901E  45
0516120918 123N 891E  50
0516120918 123N 891E  50
0516121000 127N 884E  55
0516121000 127N 884E  55
0516121006 129N 875E  60
0516121006 129N 875E  60
0516121012 130N 863E  65
0516121012 130N 863E  65
0516121012 130N 863E  65
0516121018 129N 853E  65
0516121018 129N 853E  65
0516121018 129N 853E  65
0516121100 129N 845E  70
0516121100 129N 845E  70
0516121100 129N 845E  70
0516121106 129N 837E  75
0516121106 129N 837E  75
0516121106 129N 837E  75
NNNN

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations