| ACTIVE STORMS |
Iggy (S. Indian Ocean)
Funso (S. Indian Ocean)
| |
|
A hurricane (or typhoon, or severe tropical cyclone), the strongest storm on Earth, is a cyclonic (rotary) storm that derives its energy from cloud formation and rainfall. This is unlike mid-latitude storms that derive their power from a temperature gradient. The strongest hurricanes release energy the equivalant of one 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes.
 | Daniel O. Dragos – Your PC and Mac Helper – Computer Repair, Training & Consulting, Purchasing Assistance, Web Banner Design Available worldwide by on demand remote connection to your Internet-enabled computer using the best Secure Remote technology! |
A hurricane begins as a tropical depression with a sustained wind speed of less than 39 mph (35 knots; 63 km/hr). As the system strengthens, it becomes a tropical storm with winds from 39 to 73 mph (35-63 knots; 63-118 km/hr). Tropical storms are named in the Atlantic, East, Central and Northwest Pacific, in the South Indian Ocean, and in the Arabian Sea. When the winds are sustained (based on a one-minute average) at 74 mph (64 knots; 119 km/hr), the storm becomes:
In the Atlantic Ocean, East Pacific, Central Pacific (east of the International Dateline) and Southeast Pacific (east of 160°E) a Hurricane; in the Northwest Pacific (west of the International Dateline) a Typhoon; in the Southwest Pacific (west of 160°E) and Southeast Indian Ocean (east of 90°E) a Severe Tropical Cyclone; in the North Indian Ocean a Severe Cyclonic Storm; and in the Southwest Indian Ocean (west of 90°E) a Tropical Cyclone.
|
 |
WTXS31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY) WARNING NR 008//
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 19.3S 111.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 111.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8S 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 20.2S 112.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 20.4S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 20.7S 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.4S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.7S 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 24.2S 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 111.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (IGGY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) HAS
BEEN STEADILY DECREASING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS TC 09S TRACKS
CLOSER TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. CURRENTLY, THERE IS AN
ESTIMATED 15-20 KNOTS OF EASTERLY VWS OVER THE LLCC WITH GOOD
DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON PGTW AND KNES
CENTER FIXES AND A 271756Z AMSU IMAGE WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 45-55 KNOTS FROM
PGTW AND KNES/APRF RESPECTIVELY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL INTO TROUGHING TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC IGGY IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED NEAR
EQUATORIAL RIDGE (NER) TO THE NORTHEAST. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SLOWING DOWN AFTER TAU 36 AS THE NER RECEDES AND A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA ASSUMES STEERING
AFTER TAU 48. THIS WILL PROPEL THE SYSTEM TO TRACK ON A MORE
SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. THE TC WILL REACH PEAK INTENSITY SHORTLY
AFTER IT MAKES THE TURN AS UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS MAXIMIZE. TC IGGY
WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD NEAR 22
SOUTH LATITUDE WHERE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES DIP AND VWS INCREASES.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
TIMING OF THE RE-CURVATURE WITH THE JGSM BEING THE LEFT MOST
OUTLIER. THIS FORECAST IS IN-LINE WITH THE ECMWF SOLUTION AND SLOWER
THAN CONSENSUS DURING THE EXTENDED FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND
282100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
|
|
WTXS51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCP MIL 09S SIO 120127202258
2012012718 09S IGGY 008 02 110 06 SATL 060
T000 193S 1113E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 198S 1121E 060 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 202S 1129E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 105 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 204S 1135E 075 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 207S 1137E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 214S 1135E 095 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 125 NW QD
T096 227S 1123E 085
T120 242S 1109E 080
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 19.3S 111.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 111.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8S 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 20.2S 112.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 20.4S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 20.7S 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.4S 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.7S 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 24.2S 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 111.5E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND 282100Z.
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0912012218 131S1175E 15
0912012300 135S1170E 15
0912012306 143S1163E 20
0912012312 150S1158E 15
0912012318 158S1149E 20
0912012400 163S1137E 20
0912012406 168S1125E 25
0912012412 165S1110E 30
0912012418 160S1095E 30
0912012500 159S1092E 30
0912012506 158S1088E 30
0912012512 158S1085E 35
0912012518 159S1080E 40
0912012600 162S1083E 45
0912012606 166S1087E 45
0912012612 171S1090E 45
0912012618 176S1095E 45
0912012700 181S1100E 50
0912012706 186S1103E 50
0912012712 191S1107E 55
0912012712 191S1107E 55
0912012718 193S1113E 55
0912012718 193S1113E 55
NNNN
|
Radar
Satellite Imagery
Satellite Animations
|
|
|
WTXS32 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNING NR 019//
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 26.8S 40.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8S 40.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 28.5S 41.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 30.6S 43.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 32.6S 45.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 34.3S 48.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 27.2S 40.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (FUNSO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST
OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE, HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
AN EYE THAT IS BEGINNING TO BECOME MORE RAGGED WITH WARMING CLOUD
TOPS NEAR THE EYEWALL. A 271802Z SSMIS 37GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS THE
BEGINNING OF THE BREAKDOWN OF THE EYEWALL IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT
AND ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP
CONVECTION IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
THE HIGH SIDE OF DVORAK ESTIMATES AT 90 KNOTS BASED ON THE PRESENCE
OF THE EYE FEATURE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A THE EYE
FEATURE WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. TC 08S IS TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DEEP SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS
THE STR AND RE-CURVES INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AND AS IT ENCOUNTERS
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFTER TAU 12. NEAR TAU 24, TC 08S IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND SHOULD
COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 36. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
AND SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST TRACK, ALTHOUGH THIS FORECAST FAVORS
ECMWF AND IS POSITIONED FASTER THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS AFTER TAU
48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND 282100Z.REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (IGGY)
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
|
|
WTXS52 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCP MIL 08S SIO 120127203353
2012012718 08S FUNSO 019 02 130 06 SATL 020
T000 268S 0403E 090 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T012 285S 0415E 070 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 306S 0433E 050 R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 326S 0455E 040 R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 343S 0485E 030
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 26.8S 40.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8S 40.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 28.5S 41.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 30.6S 43.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 32.6S 45.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 34.3S 48.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 27.2S 40.6E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND 282100Z.
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0812011618 154S 406E 15
0812011700 156S 408E 15
0812011706 158S 410E 20
0812011712 160S 412E 25
0812011718 163S 413E 25
0812011800 166S 413E 25
0812011806 168S 413E 25
0812011812 170S 413E 25
0812011818 173S 412E 30
0812011900 176S 411E 30
0812011906 179S 408E 35
0812011912 181S 404E 35
0812011918 182S 399E 45
0812012000 183S 393E 75
0812012000 183S 393E 75
0812012000 183S 393E 75
0812012006 183S 387E 75
0812012006 183S 387E 75
0812012006 183S 387E 75
0812012012 183S 383E 75
0812012012 183S 383E 75
0812012012 183S 383E 75
0812012018 183S 380E 80
0812012018 183S 380E 80
0812012018 183S 380E 80
0812012100 181S 378E 85
0812012100 181S 378E 85
0812012100 181S 378E 85
0812012106 180S 377E 100
0812012106 180S 377E 100
0812012106 180S 377E 100
0812012112 179S 378E 100
0812012112 179S 378E 100
0812012112 179S 378E 100
0812012118 178S 380E 90
0812012118 178S 380E 90
0812012118 178S 380E 90
0812012200 177S 382E 90
0812012200 177S 382E 90
0812012200 177S 382E 90
0812012206 177S 385E 90
0812012206 177S 385E 90
0812012206 177S 385E 90
0812012212 177S 387E 90
0812012212 177S 387E 90
0812012212 177S 387E 90
0812012218 178S 390E 90
0812012218 178S 390E 90
0812012218 178S 390E 90
0812012300 181S 391E 90
0812012300 181S 391E 90
0812012300 181S 391E 90
0812012306 183S 393E 100
0812012306 183S 393E 100
0812012306 183S 393E 100
0812012312 188S 394E 100
0812012312 188S 394E 100
0812012312 188S 394E 100
0812012318 192S 394E 115
0812012318 192S 394E 115
0812012318 192S 394E 115
0812012400 197S 393E 120
0812012400 197S 393E 120
0812012400 197S 393E 120
0812012406 204S 395E 115
0812012406 204S 395E 115
0812012406 204S 395E 115
0812012412 213S 390E 115
0812012412 213S 390E 115
0812012412 213S 390E 115
0812012418 218S 389E 115
0812012418 218S 389E 115
0812012418 218S 389E 115
0812012500 223S 388E 115
0812012500 223S 388E 115
0812012500 223S 388E 115
0812012506 226S 388E 120
0812012506 226S 388E 120
0812012506 226S 388E 120
0812012512 229S 388E 120
0812012512 229S 388E 120
0812012512 229S 388E 120
0812012518 234S 389E 115
0812012518 234S 389E 115
0812012518 234S 389E 115
0812012600 236S 390E 115
0812012600 236S 390E 115
0812012600 236S 390E 115
0812012606 240S 392E 115
0812012606 240S 392E 115
0812012606 240S 392E 115
0812012612 246S 393E 115
0812012612 246S 393E 115
0812012612 246S 393E 115
0812012618 251S 395E 115
0812012618 251S 395E 115
0812012618 251S 395E 115
0812012700 255S 396E 110
0812012700 255S 396E 110
0812012700 255S 396E 110
0812012706 259S 397E 105
0812012706 259S 397E 105
0812012706 259S 397E 105
0812012712 264S 398E 95
0812012712 264S 398E 95
0812012712 264S 398E 95
0812012718 268S 403E 90
0812012718 268S 403E 90
0812012718 268S 403E 90
NNNN
|
Satellite Imagery
Satellite Animations
|
|
