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Tropical Cyclone GITA Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Situation Map
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Tropical Cyclone GITA Forecast Graphic
Tropical Cyclone GITA Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Cyclone GITA Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Cyclone GITA Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Cyclone GITA Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Cyclone GITA Warning Text (JTWC)
WTPS31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA) WARNING NR 040    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   181800Z --- NEAR 29.2S 161.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 29.2S 161.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 32.0S 163.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 35.6S 166.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 39.5S 170.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z --- 42.2S 172.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 29.9S 162.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST OF
KINGSTON IS., HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
THAT APPEARS TO BE SEPARATING FURTHER FROM THE PUFF OF REMAINING 
CENTRAL CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. THE INITIAL POSITION 
IS BASED ON ANIMATED EIR AND SUPPORTED BY AN 181559Z 85GHZ SSMI 
MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE CONFIRMING A LARGE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
WITH DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE POLEWARD SIDE. THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE 
OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND SUPPORTED 
BY A KNES DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS) AS 
WELL AS AN 181421Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 58 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
SHOWS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 40 KNOTS) WHICH REMAINS 
OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT, BELOW 25 
DEGREES CELSIUS, AND WILL CONTINUE TO DROP OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH RECENT PHASE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 09P IS 
STILL A TROPICAL WARM CORE SYSTEM, IT IS STARTING TO DISPLAY 
SUBTROPICAL FEATURES SUCH AS AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD AND CONVECTION 
DISPLACED TO THE POLEWARD AND EASTWARD SIDE. TC 09P IS TRACKING 
GENERALLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
(STR) LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 09P WILL BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD 
BY TAU 12 AS IT ROUNDS THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE STR. TC 09P WILL 
MAINTAIN AN INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL 
TRANSITION BY TAU 24 AND COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 
48 OVER NEW ZEALAND. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT 
AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST 
TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone GITA JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTPS51 PGTW 182100    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09P SWP 180218194347
2018021818 09P GITA       040  01 205 11 SATL 045
T000 292S 1619E 050 R050 065 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 105 NW QD 
T012 320S 1630E 050 R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 125 SW QD 110 NW QD 
T024 356S 1661E 050 R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 155 SW QD 140 NW QD 
T036 395S 1704E 050 R050 090 NE QD 055 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 225 NE QD 265 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD 
T048 422S 1728E 045 R034 225 NE QD 245 SE QD 150 SW QD 180 NW QD 
AMP
    024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA) WARNING NR 040    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA) WARNING NR 040    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   181800Z --- NEAR 29.2S 161.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 29.2S 161.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 32.0S 163.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 35.6S 166.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 39.5S 170.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z --- 42.2S 172.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 29.9S 162.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST OF
KINGSTON IS., HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.
//
0918020812 148S1788W  25
0918020818 145S1769W  25
0918020900 142S1759W  40
0918020906 143S1745W  40
0918020912 145S1730W  45
0918020918 153S1714W  45
0918021000 161S1700W  50
0918021000 161S1700W  50
0918021006 170S1690W  50
0918021012 182S1685W  55
0918021012 182S1685W  55
0918021018 193S1684W  75
0918021018 193S1684W  75
0918021018 193S1684W  75
0918021100 205S1683W  85
0918021100 205S1683W  85
0918021100 205S1683W  85
0918021106 209S1689W  90
0918021106 209S1689W  90
0918021106 209S1689W  90
0918021112 214S1702W  90
0918021112 214S1702W  90
0918021112 214S1702W  90
0918021118 217S1714W 100
0918021118 217S1714W 100
0918021118 217S1714W 100
0918021200 218S1726W 110
0918021200 218S1726W 110
0918021200 218S1726W 110
0918021206 218S1743W 125
0918021206 218S1743W 125
0918021206 218S1743W 125
0918021212 215S1755W 125
0918021212 215S1755W 125
0918021212 215S1755W 125
0918021218 213S1771W 125
0918021218 213S1771W 125
0918021218 213S1771W 125
0918021300 212S1784W 120
0918021300 212S1784W 120
0918021300 212S1784W 120
0918021306 210S1795W 115
0918021306 210S1795W 115
0918021306 210S1795W 115
0918021312 210S1795E 110
0918021312 210S1795E 110
0918021312 210S1795E 110
0918021318 210S1786E 110
0918021318 210S1786E 110
0918021318 210S1786E 110
0918021400 211S1777E 115
0918021400 211S1777E 115
0918021400 211S1777E 115
0918021406 213S1770E 115
0918021406 213S1770E 115
0918021406 213S1770E 115
0918021412 215S1760E 115
0918021412 215S1760E 115
0918021412 215S1760E 115
0918021418 215S1753E 105
0918021418 215S1753E 105
0918021418 215S1753E 105
0918021500 215S1742E 105
0918021500 215S1742E 105
0918021500 215S1742E 105
0918021506 218S1734E 105
0918021506 218S1734E 105
0918021506 218S1734E 105
0918021512 223S1722E 100
0918021512 223S1722E 100
0918021512 223S1722E 100
0918021518 225S1711E 100
0918021518 225S1711E 100
0918021518 225S1711E 100
0918021600 228S1700E  95
0918021600 228S1700E  95
0918021600 228S1700E  95
0918021606 232S1690E  90
0918021606 232S1690E  90
0918021606 232S1690E  90
0918021612 235S1680E  80
0918021612 235S1680E  80
0918021612 235S1680E  80
0918021618 238S1673E  75
0918021618 238S1673E  75
0918021618 238S1673E  75
0918021700 245S1664E  70
0918021700 245S1664E  70
0918021700 245S1664E  70
0918021706 249S1656E  65
0918021706 249S1656E  65
0918021706 249S1656E  65
0918021712 255S1647E  55
0918021712 255S1647E  55
0918021718 260S1641E  60
0918021718 260S1641E  60
0918021800 267S1633E  55
0918021800 267S1633E  55
0918021806 274S1626E  50
0918021806 274S1626E  50
0918021812 282S1624E  50
0918021812 282S1624E  50
0918021818 292S1619E  50
0918021818 292S1619E  50
NNNN

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Forecast Graphic
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Storm-Centered Infrared (Aviation Color Enhancement)
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN Warning Text (JTWC)
WTXS31 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 008    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180000Z --- NEAR 19.2S 121.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 121.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 20.1S 122.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 21.4S 122.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 23.0S 122.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 24.7S 123.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 121.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A CLOUD-FILLED EYE SURROUNDED BY A BROAD EYE WALL WITH DEEP 
CONVECTION. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM BROOME REVEALS A DEFINED LOW 
LEVEL INNER EYEWALL NOW POSITIONED OVER LAND. THE INITIAL POSITION 
IS BASED ON RADAR WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. A 172219Z WINDSAT 37 GHZ 
COLOR COMPOSITE IMAGE SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CYAN RING SURROUNDING THE 
EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE RAPIDLY 
CONSOLIDATING STRUCTURE COMBINED WITH SUBJECTIVE ASSESSMENT OF EIR 
IMAGERY, AND SUPPORTED BY A 171913Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 82 KNOTS AND  
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS A POINT SOURCE TO THE NORTHEAST OF TC 10S 
WITH AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE OVER THE TOP OF TC 10S AS WELL. THIS 
RESULTS IN A VERY FAVORABLE (LESS THAN 10 KNOTS) VWS ENVIRONMENT 
WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 10S IS NOW OVER LAND AND SO IS NO 
LONGER SUPPORTED BY FAVORABLE SSTS. TC 10S IS CURRENTLY TRACKING 
EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COMPETING STEERING RIDGES TO 
THE SOUTHEAST AND NORTHWEST. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO SHIFT 
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS 
FURTHER INLAND AND THE SOUTHEASTERN RIDGE ASSUMES STEERING. DESPITE 
LAND INTERACTION, TC 10S IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY THROUGH 
TAU 12 AS IS COMMONLY SEEN IN THIS REGION. TC 10S WILL THEN 
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE TURNING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE 
STR TO THE EAST AND STEADILY DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. 
COMPLETE DISSIPATION OVER LAND IS EXPECTED BY TAU 48. DYNAMIC MODEL 
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE 
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM 
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE 
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone KELVIN JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTXS51 PGTW 180300    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 10S SIO 180218014029
2018021800 10S KELVIN     008  01 090 06 SATL RADR 035
T000 192S 1216E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 105 NW QD 
T012 201S 1223E 075 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 125 NW QD 
T024 214S 1227E 055 
T036 230S 1229E 040 
T048 247S 1232E 030 
AMP
    024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 008    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   171200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 120.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 120.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z --- 19.6S 121.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 20.4S 122.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 21.6S 122.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 22.9S 122.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 120.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (KELVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 116 NM
SOUTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//
1018021212 106S1343E  15
1018021218 108S1341E  15
1018021300 110S1338E  15
1018021306 113S1334E  15
1018021312 119S1330E  15
1018021318 131S1315E  20
1018021400 134S1300E  20
1018021406 139S1292E  20
1018021412 143S1282E  20
1018021418 147S1270E  25
1018021500 152S1261E  25
1018021506 162S1256E  20
1018021512 169S1247E  25
1018021518 172S1231E  25
1018021600 173S1222E  25
1018021606 180S1214E  30
1018021612 184S1210E  35
1018021618 185S1206E  35
1018021700 188S1202E  40
1018021706 190S1204E  40
1018021712 192S1207E  45
NNNN

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