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Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA Warning Text (JTWC)
WTXS31 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 023    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180600Z --- NEAR 20.7S 57.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S 57.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 22.1S 55.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 23.6S 53.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 25.5S 52.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            255 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 28.1S 51.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z --- 31.5S 51.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   220600Z --- 33.5S 55.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            295 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 57.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED 
MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING 
INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN 180526Z GMI 37GHZ 
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING THROUGH THE 
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND INTO A LLCC. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED 
ON THIS GMI IMAGE AND THE PGTW POSITION FIX. THE INTENSITY OF 65 
KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 
RANGING FROM T3.5 TO T4.0 (55-65 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW 
RESPECTIVELY. TC BERGUITTA IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE 
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE RIDGE 
IS CURRENTLY RE-ORIENTING AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK AROUND 
THE RIDGE FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TAU 48, THE 
SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRA TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND IS FORECAST TO 
COMPLETE (ETT) BETWEEN TAU 72 AND TAU 96. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO 
REMAIN RELATIVELY STEADY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS MODERATE (15-20 
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OFFSET BY POLEWARD OUTFLOW THAT IS 
ENHANCED BY THAT MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO 
BEGIN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND AFTER TAU 24 AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
INCREASES AND THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO AN AREA OF COOLER SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG 
AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC OFFICIAL TRACK 
FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 20 FEET. 
NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTXS51 PGTW 180900    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180118081213
2018011806 06S BERGUITTA  023  01 220 13 SATL 035
T000 207S 0576E 065 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 175 SE QD 160 SW QD 095 NW QD 
T012 221S 0555E 065 R064 015 NE QD 035 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 210 SE QD 195 SW QD 110 NW QD 
T024 236S 0536E 065 R064 015 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 245 SE QD 220 SW QD 120 NW QD 
T036 255S 0520E 060 R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 255 SE QD 225 SW QD 105 NW QD 
T048 281S 0510E 055 R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 100 NW QD 
T072 315S 0517E 050 R050 045 NE QD 080 SE QD 095 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 250 SE QD 195 SW QD 160 NW QD 
T096 335S 0550E 040 R034 205 NE QD 295 SE QD 290 SW QD 240 NW QD 
AMP
    072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 023    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 023    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180600Z --- NEAR 20.7S 57.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S 57.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 22.1S 55.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 23.6S 53.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 25.5S 52.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            255 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 28.1S 51.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z --- 31.5S 51.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   220600Z --- 33.5S 55.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            295 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 57.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z.
//
0618011100 130S 679E  15
0618011106 131S 683E  20
0618011112 137S 687E  30
0618011118 146S 690E  30
0618011200 153S 690E  30
0618011206 162S 685E  30
0618011212 168S 676E  30
0618011218 170S 669E  35
0618011300 174S 658E  35
0618011306 176S 651E  40
0618011312 181S 644E  40
0618011318 182S 638E  40
0618011400 182S 634E  50
0618011400 182S 634E  50
0618011406 182S 632E  55
0618011406 182S 632E  55
0618011412 181S 631E  55
0618011412 181S 631E  55
0618011418 180S 631E  55
0618011418 180S 631E  55
0618011500 178S 632E  65
0618011500 178S 632E  65
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011718 190S 594E  65
0618011718 190S 594E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
NNNN

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