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Tropical Cyclone OMA Tropical Storm WUTIP Situation Map

Tropical Cyclone Formation

Tropical Cyclone Genesis is the technical term for the process of storm formation that leads ultimately to what are called hurricanes, typhoons, or tropical cyclones in various parts of the world.

This occurs when, in the Northern Hemisphere, the Intertropical Convergence Zone, or ITCZ, shifts northward out of the doldrums and atmospheric conditions become favorable for tropical cyclone formation after about the middle of May.

A series of low-pressure ripples develops within the ITCZ. These are known as tropical waves and progress from east to west. In the late season, they typically shift their movement toward the west-nothwest, or even northwest, after crossing 45° or 50° W longitude. Full Article

Tropical Cyclone OMA Forecast Graphic
Tropical Cyclone OMA Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Cyclone OMA Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Cyclone OMA Storm-Centered Infrared (Aviation Color Enhancement)
Tropical Cyclone OMA Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Cyclone OMA Warning Text (JTWC)
WTPS31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 037//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 037    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 22.5S 160.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S 160.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 23.2S 159.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 23.9S 158.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 24.7S 158.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            330 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 25.3S 157.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 24.8S 157.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 24.1S 156.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z --- 23.4S 156.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 22.7S 159.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 488 NM NORTHEAST OF 
BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS A DETERIORATING SYSTEM, WITH WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING 
INTO A VERY RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL 
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND 
SUPPORTED BY A 202222Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 50 KNOTS WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE BASED ON 
ANALYSIS OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.5 
(55 KNOTS), A SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 46 KNOTS AND AN ADVANCED 
DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T2.2 (33 KNOTS). TC 15P IS RAPIDLY 
DECAYING AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A 
DEEP-LAYER STR CENTERED TO THE SOUTH OF FIJI. WHILE THE SYSTEM IS IN 
AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VWS AND STRONG 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ON THE NORTH SIDE AND COOL 
SSTS HOVERING AT OR JUST ABOVE 26 CELSIUS ARE COMBINING TO WEAKEN THE 
SYSTEM REGARDLESS OF THE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE DYNAMICS. TC 15P IS 
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 48 AT ROUGHLY 
4 TO 5 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED STR. 
BEYOND TAU 48 A STRONG STR BUILDS IN OVER TASMANIA BLOCKING FURTHER 
SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT. TRAPPED BETWEEN THIS BUILDING RIDGE AND THE STR TO 
THE NORTHEAST, TC 15P BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY AFTER TAU 72, GENERALLY 
DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE OVER TASMANIA MOVES 
NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN TO 45 KNOTS OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN EXPERIENCE A SHORT INTENSIFICATION PHASE 
BETWEEN TAUS 36 AND 48 AS IT TAPS INTO A DIVERGENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
CHANNEL AND BEGINS TO MOVE OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS. THEREAFTER, 
INCREASED VWS COMBINED WITH ENTRAINMENT OF COOL, STABLE AIR FROM THE 
SOUTH WILL SERVE TO STEADILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH TAU 120. 
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS BIFURCATED, WITH THE NAVGEM, EGRR AND 
GALWEM MODELS SHOWING A TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AFTER TAU 48, WITH 
NAVGEM BRINGING THE SYSTEM IN A BROAD COUNTER-CLOCKWISE LOOP BACK TO 
THE CENTRAL CORAL SEA BY TAU 120. THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE TURNS 
THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. EVEN HERE HOWEVER THERE IS 
SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT, WITH THE ECMWF SOLUTION TAKING THE SYSTEM 
WELL TO THE NORTH TOWARDS CAIRNS BY TAU 120, WHILE GFS PERFORMS A 
CLOCKWISE LOOP BACK TO THE SOUTH ENDING UP EAST OF BRISBANE BY THE 
SAME TIME. IN LIGHT OF THE BIFURCATION AND EXTREME VARIANCE IN THE 
MODEL SOLUTIONS, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS 
AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone OMA JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTPS51 PGTW 210300    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 15P SWP 190221010938
2019022100 15P OMA        037  01 225 05 SATL 040
T000 225S 1600E 050 R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 195 SE QD 180 SW QD 135 NW QD 
T012 232S 1594E 045 R034 140 NE QD 220 SE QD 260 SW QD 180 NW QD 
T024 239S 1588E 045 R034 160 NE QD 270 SE QD 320 SW QD 230 NW QD 
T036 247S 1584E 050 R050 000 NE QD 060 SE QD 130 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 290 SE QD 330 SW QD 270 NW QD 
T048 253S 1578E 050 R050 000 NE QD 060 SE QD 120 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 280 SE QD 320 SW QD 260 NW QD 
T072 248S 1572E 045 R034 080 NE QD 270 SE QD 290 SW QD 200 NW QD 
T096 241S 1567E 040 R034 060 NE QD 220 SE QD 210 SW QD 140 NW QD 
T120 234S 1561E 035 R034 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD 
AMP
    096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 037    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 037    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 22.5S 160.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S 160.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 23.2S 159.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 23.9S 158.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 24.7S 158.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            330 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 25.3S 157.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 24.8S 157.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 24.1S 156.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z --- 23.4S 156.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 22.7S 159.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 488 NM NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DETERIORATING SYSTEM, WITH WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A VERY RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SUPPORTED BY A 202222Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 50 KNOTS WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANALYSIS OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS), A SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 46 KNOTS AND AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T2.2 (33 KNOTS). TC 15P IS RAPIDLY DECAYING AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER STR CENTERED TO THE SOUTH OF FIJI. WHILE THE SYSTEM IS IN AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VWS AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ON THE NORTH SIDE AND COOL SSTS HOVERING AT OR JUST ABOVE 26 CELSIUS ARE COMBINING TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM IRREGARDLESS OF THE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE DYNAMICS. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 48 AT ROUGHLY 4 TO 5 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED STR. BEYOND TAU 48 A STRONG STR BUILDS IN OVER TASMANIA BLOCKING FURTHER SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT. TRAPPED BETWEEN THIS BUILDING RIDGE AND THE STR TO THE NORTHEAST, TC 15P BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY AFTER TAU 72, GENERALLY DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE OVER TASMANIA MOVES NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN TO 45 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN EXPERIENCE A SHORT INTENSIFICATION PHASE BETWEEN TAUS 36 AND 48 AS IT TAPS INTO A DIVERGENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND BEGINS TO MOVE OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS. THEREAFTER, INCREASED VWS COMBINED WITH ENTRAINMENT OF COOL, STABLE AIR FROM THE SOUTH WILL SERVE TO STEADILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH TAU 120. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS BIFURCATED, WITH THE NAVGEM, EGRR AND GALWEM MODELS SHOWING A TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AFTER TAU 48, WITH NAVGEM BRINGING THE SYSTEM IN A BROAD COUNTER-CLOCKWISE LOOP BACK TO THE CENTRAL CORAL SEA BY TAU 120. THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE TURNS THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. EVEN HERE HOWEVER THERE IS SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT, WITH THE ECMWF SOLUTION TAKING THE SYSTEM WELL TO THE NORTH TOWARDS CAIRNS BY TAU 120, WHILE GFS PERFORMS A CLOCKWISE LOOP BACK TO THE SOUTH ENDING UP EAST OF BRISBANE BY THE SAME TIME. IN LIGHT OF THE BIFURCATION AND EXTREME VARIANCE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
//
1519021100 164S1603E  25
1519021106 155S1612E  25
1519021112 151S1625E  25
1519021118 144S1636E  30
1519021200 140S1645E  35
1519021206 137S1649E  35
1519021212 137S1655E  45
1519021218 140S1658E  45
1519021300 143S1654E  45
1519021306 144S1650E  45
1519021312 141S1654E  55
1519021312 141S1654E  55
1519021318 144S1654E  55
1519021318 144S1654E  55
1519021400 147S1655E  55
1519021400 147S1655E  55
1519021406 149S1655E  55
1519021406 149S1655E  55
1519021412 151S1655E  55
1519021412 151S1655E  55
1519021418 152S1654E  55
1519021418 152S1654E  55
1519021500 151S1650E  60
1519021500 151S1650E  60
1519021506 151S1651E  65
1519021506 151S1651E  65
1519021506 151S1651E  65
1519021512 152S1648E  70
1519021512 152S1648E  70
1519021512 152S1648E  70
1519021518 153S1645E  70
1519021518 153S1645E  70
1519021518 153S1645E  70
1519021600 154S1643E  70
1519021600 154S1643E  70
1519021600 154S1643E  70
1519021606 154S1642E  70
1519021606 154S1642E  70
1519021606 154S1642E  70
1519021612 153S1642E  70
1519021612 153S1642E  70
1519021612 153S1642E  70
1519021618 153S1644E  65
1519021618 153S1644E  65
1519021618 153S1644E  65
1519021700 155S1642E  65
1519021700 155S1642E  65
1519021700 155S1642E  65
1519021706 160S1643E  60
1519021706 160S1643E  60
1519021712 164S1644E  60
1519021712 164S1644E  60
1519021718 168S1644E  55
1519021718 168S1644E  55
1519021800 173S1640E  50
1519021800 173S1640E  50
1519021806 180S1636E  45
1519021812 185S1631E  50
1519021812 185S1631E  50
1519021818 190S1627E  60
1519021818 190S1627E  60
1519021900 195S1624E  75
1519021900 195S1624E  75
1519021900 195S1624E  75
1519021906 200S1621E  75
1519021906 200S1621E  75
1519021906 200S1621E  75
1519021912 205S1618E  75
1519021912 205S1618E  75
1519021912 205S1618E  75
1519021918 209S1615E  75
1519021918 209S1615E  75
1519021918 209S1615E  75
1519022000 212S1612E  70
1519022000 212S1612E  70
1519022000 212S1612E  70
1519022006 215S1610E  65
1519022006 215S1610E  65
1519022006 215S1610E  65
1519022012 217S1608E  60
1519022012 217S1608E  60
1519022018 221S1604E  55
1519022018 221S1604E  55
1519022100 225S1600E  50
1519022100 225S1600E  50
NNNN

Radar

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations

Tropical Storm WUTIP Forecast Graphic
Tropical Storm WUTIP Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Storm WUTIP Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Storm WUTIP Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Storm WUTIP Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Storm WUTIP Warning Text (JTWC)
WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008    
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 6.2N 150.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 150.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 7.3N 148.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 8.5N 146.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 9.9N 145.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 11.1N 144.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 12.7N 142.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 14.2N 141.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z --- 15.6N 141.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 150.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 558 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 22 FEET. 
NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Storm WUTIP Prognostic Reasoning (JTWC)
WDPN31 PGTW 210300 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) 
WARNING NR 08 CORRECTED//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
  TYPHOON (TY) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 558 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS
A STEADILY INTENSIFYING SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER THE
OBSCURED LLCC. A 202355Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING IS NOW COMPLETELY SURROUNDING THE LLCC AND
WRAPPING INTO A WELL DEFINED CENTER WITH A DEVELOPING MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON
THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ACCOMPANYING ASCAT AMBIGUITY DATA. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND KNES, A SATELLITE CONSENSUS
ESTIMATE OF 58 KNOTS AND AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF
T3.9 (63 KNOTS). TY 02W LIES IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
WITH EASTERLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS)
EASTERLY VWS. HOWEVER, THE RELATIVE SHEAR VALUES ARE MUCH LOWER, AS
THE STORM MOTION IS IN PHASE WITH THE SHEAR VECTOR, WHICH IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY THE OVERALL IMPROVING CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION APPARENT
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WARM, SSTS NEAR 29 CELSIUS AS WELL AS
MODERATE TO HIGH OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. TY 02W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED TO THE
NORTH.      
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. THIS FORECAST REPRESENTS A CHANGE IN THE OVERALL FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY, WITH THE RECURVE SCENARIO NOW BEING THE FAVORED SOLUTION
BEYOND TAU 72. ADDITIONALLY, THE ASCAT BULLSEYE AT 202307Z PROVIDED
EXCELLENT DATA TO SUPPORT ADJUSTING THE WIND RADII, WHICH ARE MUCH
SMALLER TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED.  
   B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED STR ENTRENCHED TO THE
NORTH THROUGH TAU 72. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY INTENSITY
UNDER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, REACHING A PEAK OF 105
KNOTS AT TAU 48. BEYOND TAU 48 TO TAU 72, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN A
SLOW WEAKENING TREND AS VWS INCREASES AND SSTS COOL. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48 WITH A SPREAD OF
ONLY 65NM AT TAU 48. THEREAFTER THE MODELS DIVERGE QUICKLY, WITH
SPREAD INCREASING TO 155NM BY TAU 72 REFLECTING A VARIANCE IN THE
MODEL INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND PASSING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WELL TO THE NORTH.  
   C. BEYOND TAU 72, THE STEERING RIDGE CURRENTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE
SYSTEM BREAKS DOWN IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF A MAJOR SHORTWAVE
TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND REFORMS TO THE EAST OF TY 02W, ALLOWING FOR
A CURVE TO THE NORTH BEYOND TAU 72. TY 02W IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY
WEAKEN AFTER TAU 72 AS VWS CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND SSTS HOVER NEAR
26 CELSIUS, OFFSETTING THE IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE SYSTEM
TAPS INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO, WITH ALL MEMBERS OF THE
CONSENSUS AGREEING ON THE OVERALL SCENARIO, BUT WITH CONTINUED
UNCERTAINTY IN THE MAGNITUDE OF THE CURVE. THE ECMWF REPRESENTS THE
SLOWEST TURN AND LIES ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE ENVELOPE, WHILE THE
GFS ENSEMBLE REPRESENTS THE QUICKEST TURN AND IS THE EASTERN OUTLIER.
THE OFFICIAL TRACK LIES WEST OF THE CONSENSUS TRACK AND CLOSER TO THE
ECMWF SOLUTION. WITH A 355NM SPREAD BETWEEN OUTLIERS AT TAU 120,
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST BEYOND TAU 72.
4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED SUBJECT LINE TO REFLECT 
TYPHOON STATUS.//
NNNN
Tropical Storm WUTIP JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTPN51 PGTW 210300    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190221020938
2019022100 02W WUTIP      008  01 295 11 SATL 040
T000 062N 1505E 065 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 125 SE QD 145 SW QD 100 NW QD 
T012 073N 1486E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD 
T024 085N 1469E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD 
T036 099N 1452E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD 
T048 111N 1440E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD 
T072 127N 1426E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD 
T096 142N 1417E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD 
T120 156N 1412E 080 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD 
AMP
SUBJ:  TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008    
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008    
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 6.2N 150.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 150.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 7.3N 148.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 8.5N 146.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 9.9N 145.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 11.1N 144.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 12.7N 142.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 14.2N 141.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z --- 15.6N 141.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 150.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 558 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
//
0219021806  42N1634E  20
0219021812  42N1621E  20
0219021818  42N1609E  20
0219021900  43N1596E  20
0219021906  44N1583E  25
0219021912  44N1570E  30
0219021918  45N1557E  35
0219022000  47N1546E  45
0219022006  50N1536E  50
0219022006  50N1536E  50
0219022012  53N1525E  55
0219022012  53N1525E  55
0219022018  57N1515E  60
0219022018  57N1515E  60
0219022100  62N1505E  65
0219022100  62N1505E  65
0219022100  62N1505E  65
NNNN

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