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Tropical Storm NEOGURI Tropical Storm NESTOR Tropical Storm OCTAVE Investigation 97W Situation Map

Tropical Cyclone Formation

Tropical Cyclone Genesis is the technical term for the process of storm formation that leads ultimately to what are called hurricanes, typhoons, or tropical cyclones in various parts of the world.

This occurs when, in the Northern Hemisphere, the Intertropical Convergence Zone, or ITCZ, shifts northward out of the doldrums and atmospheric conditions become favorable for tropical cyclone formation after about the middle of May.

A series of low-pressure ripples develops within the ITCZ. These are known as tropical waves and progress from east to west. In the late season, they typically shift their movement toward the west-nothwest, or even northwest, after crossing 45° or 50° W longitude. Full Article

Tropical Storm NEOGURI Forecast Graphic
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Warning Text (JTWC)
WTPN31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI) WARNING NR 011    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 127.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 127.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 21.8N 127.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 22.8N 127.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 24.3N 128.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 26.1N 129.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 29.5N 133.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 32.4N 138.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 35.9N 146.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 127.8E.
19OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 324 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 
190000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 
200300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22W (TWENTYTWO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
Tropical Storm NEOGURI Prognostic Reasoning (JTWC)
WDPN31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI) WARNING 
NR 010//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (NEOGURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM THAT CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS SHORT RAIN BANDS, EMANATING FROM THE NORTH,
WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO THE CENTER. THE EIR LOOP ALSO INDICATES THE
SYSTEM HAS DEFINITELY BEGUN TO MOVE FROM A QUASI-STATIONARY STATE.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A
FORMATIVE MICROWAVE PINHOLE EYE IN THE 181801Z GMI 37GHZ PASS. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50KTS IS HELD SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN AGENCY AND
OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T2.5 TO T3.1 AND REFLECTS THE
IMPROVED EIR SIGNATURE AND IS CONSISTENT WITH A FORMATIVE MICROWAVE
EYE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND THE STORM
MOTION THAT IS IN-PHASE WITH UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SSTS) ARE ALSO CONDUCIVE AT 28-29C, HOWEVER THIS IS
TEMPERED BY A COLD DRY SURGE IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. OVERALL, THE
ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE 
NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM 
THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE; HOWEVER, THE EXTENDED 
FORECAST ALONG TRACK SPEEDS WERE INCREASED.
   B. TS 21W WILL CONTINUE IN ITS CURRENT TRACK, STEERED BY THE STR,
AND WILL CREST THE STR AXIS BY TAU 24. AFTERWARD, IT WILL RECURVE
NORTHEASTWARD ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE STR AND GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE. THE OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, ENHANCED BY STRONG
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE PREVAILING WESETRLIES,
WILL PROMOTE MODERATE INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 60KTS BY TAU TW.
AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SSTS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THE
SYSTEM DOWN TO 35KTS BY TAU 72.  THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT TO THIS TRACK WITH ECMWF THE NOTABLE OUTLIER BRINGING THE
VORTEX MORE WESTWARD AND SLOWER. THERE IN FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THIS
PORTION OF THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST THAT IS LAID JUST TO THE EAST OF
AND SLOWER THAN MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET ECMWF.
   C. BEYOND TAU 72, TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING
NORTHEASTWARD. CONCURRENTLY IT WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION
AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SSTS
WILL DEGRADE THE SYSTEM TO 25KTS AS IT TRANSFORMS INTO A COLD-CORE
LOW BY TAU 120. NUMERICAL MODELS SIGNIFICANTLY SPREAD OUT AND DEVIATE
IN ALONG-TRACK SPEEDS BEYOND TAU 72, LENDING LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.//
NNNN
Tropical Storm NEOGURI JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTPN51 PGTW 182100    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 21W NWP 191018194333
2019101818 21W NEOGURI    010  01 300 08 SATL SYNP 025
T000 208N 1285E 050 R050 030 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 045 NW QD 
T012 216N 1275E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD 
T024 222N 1273E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD 
T036 233N 1277E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD 
T048 247N 1285E 045 R034 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD 
T072 278N 1314E 035 R034 140 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD 
T096 310N 1362E 025 
T120 336N 1431E 025 
AMP
    096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI) WARNING NR 010    
1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI) WARNING NR 010    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   181800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 128.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 128.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 21.6N 127.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 22.2N 127.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 23.3N 127.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z --- 24.7N 128.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   211800Z --- 27.8N 131.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   221800Z --- 31.0N 136.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z --- 33.6N 143.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 128.2E.
18OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 21W (NEOGURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344 NM SOUTH 
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 
18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
2119101518 166N1332E  20
2119101600 169N1321E  20
2119101606 175N1310E  20
2119101612 178N1301E  25
2119101618 182N1299E  25
2119101700 187N1299E  30
2119101706 191N1299E  30
2119101712 196N1299E  35
2119101718 197N1298E  40
2119101800 198N1297E  45
2119101806 200N1295E  45
2119101812 204N1292E  45
2119101818 208N1285E  50
2119101818 208N1285E  50
NNNN

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations

NHC Forecast Track (Tropical Storm NESTOR)
Tropical Storm NESTOR Forecast Track (National Hurricane Center)
Tropical Storm NESTOR Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Storm NESTOR Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Storm NESTOR Storm-Centered Visible

Summary for Tropical Storm Nestor (AT1/AL162019)

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST... ...STORM SURGE AND WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT... As of 7:00 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 the center of Nestor was located near 27.6, -87.6 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm Nestor Public Advisory Number 6A

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST... ...STORM SURGE AND WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT...
Location: 27.6°N 87.6°W
Max sustained: 60 mph
Moving: NE at 22 mph
Min pressure: 999 mb

Issued at 700 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Spanish Language Public Advisory

Issued at 700 PM CDT viernes 18 de octubre de 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor Forecast Advisory Number 6

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor Forecast Discussion Number 6

Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Spanish Language Tropical Cyclone Discussion

Issued at 400 PM AST VIERNES 18 DE OCTUBRE DE 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor Graphics

Tropical Storm Nestor 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:37:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:24:36 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

Tropical Storm Nestor Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:37:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

Tropical Storm Nestor Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:56:11 GMT

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at 402 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at 508 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 /408 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019/

Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL

Issued at 515 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at 447 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Tropical Storm Nestor 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:37:58 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Best Track Information (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:37:58 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Best Track Information (.kmz)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:37:58 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Forecast Information (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:38:15 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Information by ATCF XML Prototype

Issued at Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:55:20 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
SpaghettiTropical Storm NESTOR Spaghetti Models (SFWMD)
SpaghettiTropical Storm NESTOR Spaghetti Models (UWM)

Radar

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations

NHC Forecast Track (Tropical Storm OCTAVE)
Tropical Storm OCTAVE Forecast Track (National Hurricane Center)
Tropical Storm OCTAVE Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Storm OCTAVE Storm-Centered Enhanced Infrared
Tropical Storm OCTAVE Storm-Centered Visible

Summary for Tropical Storm Octave (EP3/EP182019)

...OCTAVE EXPECTED TO BECOME REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 the center of Octave was located near 11.0, -126.6 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Octave Public Advisory Number 5

...OCTAVE EXPECTED TO BECOME REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY...
Location: 11.0°N 126.6°W
Max sustained: 40 mph
Moving: N at 5 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb

Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 5

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Discussion Number 5

Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

Tropical Storm Octave Graphics

Tropical Storm Octave 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:34:04 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:31:19 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:34:37 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave Best Track Information (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:34:37 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave Best Track Information (.kmz)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:34:37 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Information (.shp)

GIS Data last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:34:37 GMT

Tropical Storm Octave Information by ATCF XML Prototype

Issued at Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:32:02 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
SpaghettiTropical Storm OCTAVE Spaghetti Models (UWM)

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations

Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits Outlook
Graphic provided by Climate Prediction Center