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Tropical Cyclone TINO Situation Map

Tropical Cyclone Formation

Tropical Cyclone Genesis is the technical term for the process of storm formation that leads ultimately to what are called hurricanes, typhoons, or tropical cyclones in various parts of the world.

This occurs when, in the Northern Hemisphere, the Intertropical Convergence Zone, or ITCZ, shifts northward out of the doldrums and atmospheric conditions become favorable for tropical cyclone formation after about the middle of May.

A series of low-pressure ripples develops within the ITCZ. These are known as tropical waves and progress from east to west. In the late season, they typically shift their movement toward the west-nothwest, or even northwest, after crossing 45° or 50° W longitude. Full Article

Tropical Cyclone TINO Forecast Graphic
Tropical Cyclone TINO Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
Tropical Cyclone TINO Storm-Centered Infrared
Tropical Cyclone TINO Storm-Centered Water Vapor
Tropical Cyclone TINO Storm-Centered Visible
Tropical Cyclone TINO Warning Text (JTWC)
WTPS31 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE (AMSI) IMAGERY REVEALS A DECAYING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST 
WITH DRY AIR WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTH. EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 
172133Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS AND THE AMSI PROVIDES GOOD CONFIDENCE IN 
THE INITIAL POSITION AND FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE 34 AND 50 KT WIND 
RADII. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FALLS BELOW THE KNES/PGTW DVORAK 
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5-5.0 (77-90 KTS) BASED ON THE 
METOP-B PASS SHOWING A PEAK WIND OF 45-49 KTS. NOTABLY, 08P HAD AN 
EYE BRIEFLY BETWEEN 171800Z AND 180000Z. ADDITIONALLY, A 35 KT WIND 
SPEED SURFACE OBSERVATION WAS RECORDED AT LUPEPAU'U, TONGA (NFTV), 
LOCATED ABOUT 135 NM TO THE EAST OF THE INITIAL POSITION. THE POLAR 
FRONT JET, LOCATED ABOUT 250 NM TO THE SOUTH OF 08P IS PROVIDING 
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND 
WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) SHOULD BE 
SUPPORTIVE FOR THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. OVERALL, THE ENVIRONMENT IS 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE THROUGH TAU 12. FOR THE DURATION OF THE 
FORECAST, TC 08P WILL TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER TAU 12, THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME 
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE DUE TO COOL SST. THIS WILL CAUSE SLOW WEAKENING 
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. BY TAU 24, TC 08P WILL START 
INTERACTING WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN 
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, WITH COMPLETION EXPECTED BY TAU 48, IF NOT 
SOONER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH 
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE 
HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 
182100Z AND 190300Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone TINO JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTPS51 PGTW 180300    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118011144
2020011800 08P TINO       006  01 140 16 SATL XTRP 025
T000 191S 1763W 070 R064 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 345 NE QD 225 SE QD 070 SW QD 325 NW QD 
T012 220S 1735W 075 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 245 SE QD 100 SW QD 270 NW QD 
T024 255S 1707W 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 410 NE QD 270 SE QD 130 SW QD 220 NW QD 
T036 299S 1672W 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 390 NE QD 310 SE QD 220 SW QD 230 NW QD 
T048 340S 1649W 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 350 SE QD 290 SW QD 310 NW QD 
AMP
    024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E  25
0820011518 112S1729E  30
0820011600 113S1741E  30
0820011606 119S1755E  30
0820011612 127S1768E  35
0820011618 137S1778E  40
0820011700 148S1787E  50
0820011706 153S1799E  60
0820011706 153S1799E  60
0820011712 160S1788W  65
0820011712 160S1788W  65
0820011712 160S1788W  65
0820011718 179S1774W  70
0820011718 179S1774W  70
0820011718 179S1774W  70
0820011800 191S1763W  70
0820011800 191S1763W  70
0820011800 191S1763W  70
NNNN

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