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Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA Warning Text (JTWC)
WTXS31 PGTW 200300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 030    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   200000Z --- NEAR 27.9S 50.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.9S 50.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 30.6S 49.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 32.6S 50.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 33.8S 52.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            275 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            245 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 28.6S 50.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 521 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 06S IS
CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON A
200015Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING THE REMAINING 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS 
AVERAGED BETWEEN DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF T3.5 
(55 KNOTS) FROM FMEE, T3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND T2.5 (35 KNOTS) 
FROM PGTW. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(15 TO 20 KNOTS) AND A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. TC 06S IS 
BEGINNING TO TRACK OVER UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, NEAR 
25 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 06S IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG 
THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE 
SOUTHEAST. TC 06S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD 
THROUGH TAU 12 AND THEN TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR. 
THE INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 45 KNOTS THROUGH TAU 24 AND DECREASE 
TO 40 KNOTS BY TAU 36. TC 06S WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION 
(ETT) BY TAU 12 AND WILL COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 36. DYNAMIC MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE 
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 
200000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 
210300Z.//
NNNN
Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA JMV 3.0 Data (JTWC)
WTXS51 PGTW 200300    
WARNING    ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180120014409
2018012000 06S BERGUITTA  030  01 205 20 SATL 060
T000 279S 0503E 045 R034 140 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 140 NW QD 
T012 306S 0496E 045 R034 195 NE QD 285 SE QD 225 SW QD 165 NW QD 
T024 326S 0502E 045 R034 220 NE QD 300 SE QD 245 SW QD 210 NW QD 
T036 338S 0526E 040 R034 190 NE QD 285 SE QD 275 SW QD 245 NW QD 
AMP
    012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 030    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 030    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   200000Z --- NEAR 27.9S 50.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.9S 50.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 30.6S 49.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 32.6S 50.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 33.8S 52.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            275 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            245 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 28.6S 50.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 521 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.//
0618011100 130S 679E  15
0618011106 131S 683E  20
0618011112 137S 687E  30
0618011118 146S 690E  30
0618011200 153S 690E  30
0618011206 162S 685E  30
0618011212 168S 676E  30
0618011218 170S 669E  35
0618011300 174S 658E  35
0618011306 176S 651E  40
0618011312 181S 644E  45
0618011318 182S 638E  40
0618011400 182S 634E  50
0618011400 182S 634E  50
0618011406 182S 632E  55
0618011406 182S 632E  55
0618011412 181S 631E  55
0618011412 181S 631E  55
0618011418 180S 631E  55
0618011418 180S 631E  55
0618011500 178S 632E  65
0618011500 178S 632E  65
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011506 178S 632E  75
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011512 180S 630E  90
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011518 180S 626E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011600 180S 621E 100
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011606 180S 616E  95
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011612 181S 612E  85
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011618 181S 609E  80
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011700 181S 606E  75
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011706 182S 602E  70
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011712 185S 599E  65
0618011718 190S 594E  65
0618011718 190S 594E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011800 197S 585E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
0618011806 207S 576E  65
0618011812 215S 566E  65
0618011812 215S 566E  65
0618011812 215S 566E  65
0618011818 221S 550E  60
0618011818 221S 550E  60
0618011900 228S 542E  55
0618011900 228S 542E  55
0618011906 238S 534E  55
0618011906 238S 534E  55
0618011912 249S 525E  50
0618011912 249S 525E  50
0618011918 261S 512E  50
0618011918 261S 512E  50
0618012000 279S 503E  45
NNNN

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