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000
ABNT20 KNHC 182322
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nestor, located over the central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Summary for Tropical Storm Nestor (AT1/AL162019)

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST... ...STORM SURGE AND WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT... As of 7:00 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 the center of Nestor was located near 27.6, -87.6 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm Nestor Public Advisory Number 6A

Issued at 700 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

000
WTNT31 KNHC 182355 CCA
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nestor Intermediate Advisory Number 6A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162019
700 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Corrected typo in Hazards Affecting Land Section

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST...
...STORM SURGE AND WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 87.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 215 MI...340 KM SW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Navarre Florida to Yankeetown Florida

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass Florida to Clearwater Beach Florida

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nestor was
located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 87.6 West. Nestor is
moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the
east-northeast is expected to occur Sunday. On the forecast track,
the center of Nestor will move inland over the Florida Panhandle on
Saturday morning, and will then move across portions of the
southeastern United States later Saturday and Sunday while it
becomes a post-tropical cyclone. Nestor is expected to move offshore
of the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic by late
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible tonight before Nestor reaches
the coast. Nestor is forecast to weaken after it moves inland, and
it is expected to lose tropical characteristics and become
post-tropical on Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km),
mainly to the northeast and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Indian Pass FL to Chassahowitzka FL...3 to 5 ft
Chassahowitzka to Clearwater Beach FL...2 to 4 ft
Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later tonight, and continue through
early Saturday.

Gale-force winds are likely along portions of the Atlantic coast
of the southeastern United States on Saturday.

RAINFALL: Nestor is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches this weekend from the central Gulf
Coast and northern and central Florida to the eastern Carolinas,
with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through Saturday morning
across the northern and central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Tropical Storm Nestor Forecast Advisory Number 6

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

000
WTNT21 KNHC 182030
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM NESTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019
2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM GRAND
ISLE...LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...AND FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO WEST OF NAVARRE...FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NAVARRE FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN FLORIDA

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS FLORIDA TO CLEARWATER BEACH FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE
INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  88.5W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  88.5W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  89.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 28.9N  86.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.1N  83.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.4N  80.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.4N  75.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.6N  68.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  88.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


Tropical Storm Nestor Forecast Discussion Number 6

Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

000
WTNT41 KNHC 182032
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Nestor Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162019
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Nestor's structure has evolved quite a bit today. Since the release
of the previous advisory, the center has become better defined based
on data from aircraft, satellite, and surface observations, and on
that basis, the system was classified as a tropical cyclone around
1800 UTC. Since that time, the center has become more separated from
the area of deep convection to the east, consistent with 30-40 kt of
deep-layer westerly shear analyzed by the SHIPS model and UW-CIMSS.
The initial intensity remains 50 kt based on aircraft data and
earlier ASCAT data.

The mid/upper-level trough seen in water vapor imagery over
southeastern Louisiana is beginning to impinge on Nestor, and the
cloud pattern has become more lopsided. It would not be surprising
to see Nestor take on a more subtropical appearance overnight, as
the GFS and ECMWF show the upper trough becoming superimposed on the
low-level circulation, with the pressure continuing to deepen and
some increase in the peak winds noted in both those models. This is
reflected in the 12-h intensity forecast of 55 kt. After that time,
the upper-level pattern becomes less favorable and Nestor should
weaken while it moves inland over the southeastern United States
and becomes post-tropical. Gale-force winds are shown over the
western Atlantic waters, but are not expected over land areas from
24 h onward. The global models show Nestor's circulation dissipating
by 96 hours, and that is reflected in the NHC forecast.

The initial motion estimate is 050/19, but remains somewhat
uncertain given the recent formation of a better defined center.
The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged, with Nestor
expected to move quickly northeastward ahead of the approaching
upper trough and moving inland over the Florida Panhandle early
Saturday. The circulation center will move across the southeastern
United States before moving back offshore after 48 hours with a
slower east-northeastward to eastward motion shown late in the
period before dissipation. The new NHC track forecast lies a little
to the right of the previous and is close to the middle of the
guidance envelope. It should be noted that dangerous storm surge
and tropical storm force winds will occur along a large portion of
the Gulf Coast well east of the track of Nestor's center.

Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation of
up to 5 feet above ground level beginning this evening along the
Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach, where a
Storm Surge Warning is in effect. Residents in these areas should
follow advice given by local officials.

2. Tropical storm force winds are likely later today and tonight
along portions of the Florida Gulf Coast, where tropical storm
warnings are in effect. Regardless of the exact track and intensity
of the system, these winds will cover a large area, especially east
of the center.

3. Isolated flash flooding is possible along the central and eastern
Gulf Coast and Southeast United States coast from late tonight
through Sunday.

4. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will
be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS
offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical
characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/2100Z 27.0N  88.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  19/0600Z 28.9N  86.2W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  19/1800Z 31.1N  83.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 36H  20/0600Z 33.4N  80.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  20/1800Z 35.4N  75.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  21/1800Z 36.6N  68.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Tropical Storm Nestor Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019

000
FONT11 KNHC 182031
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162019               
2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   4(26)   X(26)   X(26)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)  10(10)  21(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)  12(12)  17(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)  20(20)  14(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   1( 1)  25(26)   7(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)  31(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   2( 2)  30(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   3( 3)  29(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   6( 6)  10(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X  17(17)  13(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
WAYCROSS GA    50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  2   4( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  1  13(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 10  13(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  2  56(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  3  61(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 60  29(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
APALACHICOLA   50  2  20(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 83   7(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 12  24(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 50  16(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  2   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 14   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 58   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  

Tropical Storm Nestor Graphics

Tropical Storm Nestor 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 23:37:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:24:36 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

Tropical Storm Nestor Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:37:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Nestor Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

Tropical Storm Nestor Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 20:56:11 GMT

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at 402 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at 508 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 /408 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019/

Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL

Issued at 515 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at 447 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Advisories and Bulletins

Hurricane Tracking

Weather Conditions